National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a very
active Atlantic hurricane season in 2006, according to a report
issued May 22, just eight days before the official start of the
season June 1.
Navy Vice Admiral
Conrad Lautenbacher, under secretary of commerce for oceans and
atmosphere and NOAA administrator, said NOAA is predicting 13 to 16
named storms, including eight to 10 that rise to the level of
hurricanes, and four to six that could become major hurricanes of
Category 3 or higher.
That number is
higher than the prevailing average in of 11 named storms, six of
which become hurricanes and two that reach Category 3. In 2005, Lautenbacher said, the Atlantic
saw a record 28 named storms, or which 15 became hurricanes and
seven that hit Category 3 or higher, including a record of four
major hurricanes that hit the U.S.
The potential of
storms striking the U.S. is high [in 2006], he added.
to the prediction include warmer ocean temperatures, lower wind
shear, weaker easterly trade winds and mid-level atmospheric
conditions that are more favorable to the development of
Whether we face an
active hurricane season, like this year, or a below-normal season,
the crucial message for every person is the same: prepare, prepare,
prepare, said Max Mayfield, director of NOAAs National Hurricane
Center. One hurricane hitting where you live is enough to make it a
Hurricane Center Web address is www.nhc.noaa.gov.
the reporter who wrote this article, send e-mail to David Cogswell
at [email protected].