NEW YORK -- National Public Radio's senior foreign editor Loren
Jenkins took Europe 2000 conference attendees on a geopolitical
tour of tomorrow's Europe, predicting stability for the West and
disarray for the East.
The keynote luncheon speaker at Travel Weekly's Europe 2000
conference said he didn't "foresee any tumultuous events that will
interrupt the stability of countries in western and central Europe
[such as Italy, France and Spain], but there remain lots of
troubles on the periphery."
For Russia, "It has been 10 years since the fall of communism, yet
all hopes have come to nothing. Political corruption abounds."
Jenkins also predicted that the next leaders to be elected
"won't be as friendly to the West," since "U.S.-Russian relations
for past 10 years have failed in many Russians' eyes -- and there's
an anti-American feeling in the Russian electorate."
He also predicted that "the former Soviet countries will always
remain under [Russian] domination in one form [or another]."
As for the Balkans, they are "still troubled and unstable," with
Bosnia "still digging out from its savage war," he said. He
predicted that "Sarajevo won't see any new Olympics soon."
Jenkins also said that Turkey may have problems in the future.
"Continued trouble can be expected as Turkey continues to be torn
between its secular European elites and its more fundamentalist
majority in the eastern part of the country."
One audience member took issue with remarks Jenkins made about
Croatia, which he said was a country whose political future
probably would not change much from the "fascist" policies of its
dying ruler, Franjo Tudjman.
Jenkins also said the country was potentially unstable because
the transition of power from Tudjman to another leader was not yet
"I don't agree," said Nazli Weiss, vice president of marketing
in the Washington office for Atlas Travel of Croatia.
"I know how hard these people are working to better themselves.
They do not want a fascist country," she said, adding that
democracy does not come overnight.