Boeing and Embraer in talks, joint venture more likely than merger

Aircraft makers Boeing and Embraer are engaged in discussions about "a potential combination," the companies said in a joint statement Thursday.

"There is no guarantee a transaction will result from these discussions," the companies said. "Boeing and Embraer do not intend to make any additional comments regarding these discussions."

A merger between the two plane makers would transform the aerospace industry. But a joint venture, rather than a Boeing acquisition of Embraer, appears more likely since any transaction would be subject to the approval of the Brazilian government.

On Friday, Brazilian president Michel Temer told the newspaper Folha de Sao Paolo that while he would welcome foreign investment, he would oppose an acquisition of Embraer.

"Under no circumstance will it be sold," Temer said.

Richard Aboulafia, an aircraft industry analyst with the Fairfax, Va.-based Teal Group, said that a joint venture between Boeing and Embraer would make a great deal of sense. First and foremost, he explained, the companies could work together to market and support Embraer's family of regional E-Jets -- a market segment in which Boeing is not competing.

They could also work together to enhance Embraer's cockpits and to market military jets.

If Boeing and Embraer were to form a partnership it would be viewed by many as a response to the agreement that competitors Airbus and Bombardier made in October to partner on what had been Bombardier's C Series program for 100- to 150-seat aircraft. Under the agreement, Airbus is become a 50.01% owner of the C Series. Bombardier will retain 31% ownership while Investissement Quebec, the province of Quebec's economic development arm, will own 19%. In its majority-ownership role, Airbus will provide procurement, sales and marketing for the CS 100 and CS 300 aircraft.

Aboulafia said that a partnership between Boeing and Embraer could be a boon to the market of 70- to 90-seat regional jets. 

"In terms of the traveling public the upshot is that Airbus and Bombardier doesn't do anything for regional jets," he said. "The C Series really isn't a regional jet. But if there really is a [joint venture] here you could see more support and marketing for Embraer regional jets."

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