Sabre: Agents air sales will drop

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BERLIN -- Today, brick-and-mortar travel agencies account for about three-quarters of air ticket sales in the U.S., but that portion is expected to plummet to about 45% by five years from now, according to John Stow, senior vice president electronic travel distribution sales and service for Sabre.

However, he added, about another 20% of air bookings could still be agency business, but delivered over the Internet either via the agencies' own Web sites or via corporate intranets.

In other words, he projected, agents could still account for about 65% of air sales in another five years. Stow made his projections during a travel technology forum at the ITB trade show in Berlin last month.

In a keynote speech focused on one-to-one marketing concepts, he said travelers of the near future "will expect us to anticipate needs. They want to be recognized for their value; they want recognition of unique needs and their preferences remembered; they want unique, personalized offers.

Stow also said that if the matter is handled properly, customers are usually willing to provide a lot of profile information that makes it possible for suppliers or agents to integrate the data and make personalized offers at the point of sale.

He used Sabre products to illustrate examples of where one-to-one marketing is heading, at least from one vendor's perspective.

VirtuallyThere.com, which allows clients to look at their own itineraries and to get maps, directions, weather and other information about their destinations, is averaging 46,000 hits per day, he said.

Stow said the site gives even low-tech agencies the appearance of having a Web presence because, when the client logs on (using his unique booking number as the key), his agency's name appears on the screen. Stow also said a survey showed that 97% of users are satisfied with their agencies.

More importantly, VirtuallyThere.com is a device that assists agents in collecting profile data from clients. The customers fill out their own profiles and ask to receive (or not receive) promotions for specific types of products.

Agencies then can send tailored e-mails to customers; after April, Sabre automatically will send those e-mails to clients if agencies wish, Stow said.

VirtuallyThere.com is not a booking site yet, but Stow said it will have that capability for nonair products of all types, and the vendor will negotiate with suppliers to ensure each agency gets the commission for those sales.

He said the site also will launch a patented low-fare shopping tool. Users will fill in a template on the places they want to visit, the preferred travel dates and size of their budget. They will receive notices when Sabre finds a match or matches for the requests.

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